Dunkirk
 
 
 
Dunkirk

One Month till the Oscars…and We’ve Got Some Predictions!

    It is less than a month to go before Hollywood’s High Holy Night, the Academy Awards. Year after year, the film industry’s elite players go head to head for the chance to bring home their very own golden man, the elusive Oscar. Since we’ve seen most of the films, we thought we’d share with you our predictions on the who we think will reign victorious come March 4. Note: We’ve unfortunately left out a few categories (the shorts, documentaries, and foreign films) as we haven’t seen had the chance to see them. But for now, we give you Lifestyle Asia’s Oscar Predications for the rest of the categories. 

    Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

    Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

    Best Motion Picture of the Year

    1. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
    2. The Shape of Water
    3. Dunkirk
    4. Get Out
    5. Lady Bird
    6. Call Me by Your Name
    7. Darkest Hour
    8. Phantom Thread
    9. The Post

    Although recent controversy and backlash against Three Billboards have hit the fan as of late, we’re still confident in the industry’s support with the Martin McDonagh film. It has big stars and will easily take two acting awards. Though it may seem idiotic not to the say The Shape of Water will go home with matching Picture and Directing Oscars, the film doesn’t seem to be talked about as much. Plus, Oscar has done crazier things before and Three Billboards is right up their ally. We’re predicting a 2012 Argo-like situation for the night’s top prize. 

    Guillermo Del Toro on the set of The Shape of Water

    Guillermo Del Toro on the set of The Shape of Water

    Best Director

    1. Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water
    2. Jordan Peele, Get Out
    3. Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk
    4. Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird
    5. Paul Thomas Anderson, Phantom Thread

    Guillermo del Toro has this right in the bag. He walked away with the Director’s Guild of America award yesterday, and statistically speaking, the DGA winner almost always translates to an Oscar winner. Plus points: his film is certainly the most showy one that showcases what the directing branch “expects of their category.” Peele, Nolan, Gerwig and Anderson, all have strong followings but that’s more of the public championing them then the Academy. This is del Toro’s for the win.

    Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour

    Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour

    Best Actor in a Leading Role

    1. Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
    2. Timothée Chalamet, Call Me by Your Name
    3. Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread
    4. Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out
    5. Denzel Washington, Roman J. Israel, Esq.

    We applaud the Academy for their diversity in this category. We have a famed character actor who has paid his dues (Oldman), a 20-something playing gay (Chalamet), two of “the greatest actors in the world” (Day-Lewis and Washington), and a newly discovered talent in one of the most talked about movies of the year (Kaluuya). The Academy will, however, stick to their comfort zones and give it to Gary Oldman for his riveting and transformative performance as Winston Churchill in Darkest Hour.

    Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri

    Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri

    Best Actress in a Leading Role

    1. Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
    2. Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird
    3. Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
    4. Margot Robbie, I, Tonya
    5. Meryl Streep, The Post

    Many fans will be emotional and mad that critical darling Saoirse Ronan won’t be winning for her role as Lady Bird. Statistics usually point out to younger women in their 20s as eventual Best Actress winners. But this is Frances McDormand’s year, and she’s in the Best Picture frontrunner. She won’t lose this. She’s ferociously good in Three Billboard’s Outside Ebbing, Missouri, that helps. Overall, all five of these women would make very deserving winners.

    Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

    Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

    Best Actor in a Supporting Role

    1. Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
    2. Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
    3. Christopher Plummer, All the Money in the World
    4. Woody Harrelson, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
    5. Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water

    Sam Rockwell will win. Dafoe was the once expected to be the frontrunner when the season began, but after the precursor critics awards, Rockwell gained a lot of strength during the televised award shows. He is a respected character actor that Hollywood seems to like very much. There is no way any one will come out victorious but Rockwell.

    Allison Janney, I, Tonya

    Allison Janney, I, Tonya

    Best Actress in a Supporting Role

    1. Allison Janney, I, Tonya
    2. Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
    3. Lesley Manville, Phantom Thread
    4. Mary J. Blige, Mudbound
    5. Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water

    Our heart is broken that Laurie Metcalf’s gorgeous performance as Lady Bird’s strong mother will lose come March 4. Allison Janney, who plays Tonya Harding’s monster mom in I, Tonya has this in the bag. Is it a better performance? We’ll leave that up to you, but Janney has been around a long time and has worked with almost everyone. People will vote for her simply because of who she is. Book closed.

    Get Out

    Get Out

    Best Original Screenplay

    1. Get Out
    2. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
    3. Lady Bird
    4. The Shape of Water
    5. The Big Sick

    Although we feel this could be anyone’s game, the Academy seems to love Jordan Peele’s Get Out so much that they gave the first time director THREE nominations for the film. We think they’ll award him through this category.

    Call Me By Your Name

    Call Me By Your Name

    Best Adapted Screenplay

    1. Call Me by Your Name
    2. Molly’s Game
    3. Logan
    4. The Disaster Artist
    5. Mudbound

    The legendary writer-director James Ivory is almost 90 years old and has given the screen some of its best movies over the course of sixty years. His screenplay adaption of the novel Call Me by Your Name will win. Not that is doesn’t deserve it (the film’s storytelling is flawless), but his narrative as being one of Hollywood’s true treasures certainly helps. Aaron Sorkin’s Molly’s Game screenplay comes close, but they recently awarded him an Oscar in this category for The Social Network, and we don’t think they’ll be handing it to him again this soon.

    Coco

    Coco

    Best Animated Feature Film

    1. Coco
    2. The Breadwinner
    3. Ferdinand
    4. Loving Vincent
    5. The Boss Baby

    This is Coco’s category. No other film can catch up to it.

    Best Original Score

    1. Phantom Thread
    2. The Shape of Water
    3. Dunkirk
    4. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
    5. Star Wars: The Lady Jedi

    We can’t decide whether Phantom Thread or The Shape of Water will take this Oscar. We’ll give the edge to long term Paul Thomas Anderson collaborator Johnny Greenwood for his haunting work on Phantom Thread. The composer was snubbed for There Will Be Blood in 2007, and we think this is a way to make it up for him. Also, Anderson has been championing him on the campaign trail. Not to mention, Shape of Water composer Alexandre Desplat already has an Oscar for The Grand Budapest Hotel. But who knows, Desplat may still come out as the winner because of his popularity. He has 9 nominations for a career that has spanned over two decades.

    Best Original Song 

    1. Remember Me, Coco
    2. Mystery of Love, Call Me by Your Name
    3. This is Me, The Greatest Showman
    4. Mighty River, Mudbound
    5. Stand Up for Something, Marshall

    Disney always seems to rule the original song category, so expect Coco to take this. Mystery of Love from Call Me by Your Name has a huge chance considering it plays so well into the film’s narrative (something the Academy truly appreciates). Another upset would be The Greatest Showman’s anthem This is Me. But the song writing duo who did Showman just won last year for La La Land, and this song is not as strong as last year’s winner City of Stars.

    Dunkirk

    Dunkirk

    Best Sound Editing

    1. Dunkirk
    2. Baby Driver
    3. Blade Runner 2049
    4. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
    5. The Shape of Water

    Best Sound Mixing

    1. Dunkirk
    2. Baby Driver
    3. Blade Runner 2049
    4. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
    5. The Shape of Water

    The Oscars like their sound effects loud! War movies also do fairly well in these categories. Although we whole-heartedly feel that Baby Driver would be a far worthier winner, this is Dunkirk’s for the taking.

    Best Production Design

    1. The Shape of Water
    2. Dunkirk
    3. Blade Runner 2049
    4. Beauty and the Beast
    5. Darkest Hour

    The dark fairytale/Cold War-era production design of The Shape of Water seems like the most obvious winner from this bunch of nominees.

    Blade Runner 2049

    Blade Runner 2049

    Best Cinematography

    1. Blade Runner 2049
    2. Mudbound
    3. Dunkirk
    4. The Shape of Water
    5. Darkest Hour

    Blade Runner cinematographer Roger Deakins is extremely popular and is a legend in Hollywood inner circle. We think there’s a good chance that he’ll finally win his first Oscar for this sci-fi flick. He’s been nominated a whooping 14 times and has lensed such classics like The Shawshank Redemption, Fargo, No Country for Old Men, The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford and Skyfall.

    Best Makeup and Hairstyling

    1. Wonder
    2. Darkest Hour
    3. Victoria & Abdul

    Wonder was a massive hit in the box office and a big part of it goes to the gifted make-up team who created the deformed look of young actor Jacob Tremblay. Though Darkest Hour could creep in for the win, we think the Academy will spread the wealth in the tech categories.

    Phantom Thread

    Phantom Thread

    Best Costume Design

    1. Phantom Thread
    2. Beauty and the Beast
    3. Darkest Hour
    4. The Shape of Water
    5. Victoria & Abdul

    Phantom Thread is all about fashion and is arguably the strongest candidate to win in this category. Plus points that the costumes used in the film are, in fact, the year’s best.

    Best Film Editing

    1. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
    2. I, Tonya
    3. The Shape of Water
    4. Dunkirk
    5. Baby Driver

    More often than not, statistics point that the lack of a Best Editing or Best Director nomination means no Best Picture glory. If we’re using the same Argo argument we used for Best Picture, we think Three Billboards will take it as a consolation price for not getting into Best Director.

    Best Visual Effects

    1. War for the Planet of the Apes
    2. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
    3. Blade Runner 2014
    4. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
    5. Kong: Skull Island

    Is it finally time to award Planet of the Apes’ groundbreaking technology? The Academy has ignored it every single year, and this is their swan song. An award in this category is a good prize to bid adieu to the fairly popular Andy Serkis trilogy.

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